Prediction markets, explained
How Bitcoin Up/Down markets work, who decides the result and how to trade them by hand or with an AI agent.
Lucyd vs Polymarket and Kalshi for Bitcoin Up/Down markets
How Lucyd compares with Polymarket and Kalshi for short-term Bitcoin Up/Down trading: round lengths, settlement price, fees, access, API and AI agents.
Bitcoin Up or Down: how short-term BTC prediction markets work
A plain guide to Bitcoin Up/Down prediction markets: rounds from 5 minutes to a day, prices as probabilities, the order book, settlement on the Pyth price and payouts.
How Lucyd markets settle: the Pyth price, on-chain
Who decides the winner of a Bitcoin prediction market? On Lucyd, a smart contract does, using the Pyth BTC/USD oracle price at the end time. Here is exactly how.
Trade prediction markets from Claude with MCP
Connect Claude, Cursor or any MCP agent to Lucyd and trade Bitcoin Up/Down markets in plain language: browse markets, read the order book, place orders and collect winnings.